Featured Journal Entry

IS ALL THE GOOD NEWS PRICED IN?

Last week we discussed whether stock prices might be reflecting peak optimism. In that commentary we noted that while sentiment may be overly optimistic and a pickup in volatility would be totally normal, strong breadth measures suggest stocks still may have more upside. This week we tackle that same topic of peak optimism, but by...

Journal Entries

January 4, 2019 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Market Commentary

That Sure Felt Like a Bear

While technically not a bear market, it sure felt like one. From its September 20 high through Christmas Eve, the S&P 500 Index fell 19.8%, including a more than 7% one-week (December 14–21) decline unmatched since the 2008–09 financial...

December 13, 2018 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Economic Commentary

U.S.-China Trade Deal, One Week Later

While the broad outline of a negotiating period was a positive takeaway from the trade agreement between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit, details remain elusive. Headlines following the meeting signaled a meaningful cooling...

December 13, 2018 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Market Commentary

Retest

We view last week’s market decline as a retest of the October–November lows. The S&P 500 Index fell 4.6% last week, leaving the index in line with the low of the autumn correction and 10% off the September highs [Figure 1]. Losses were driven...

December 7, 2018 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Economic Commentary

Fed Shows Flexibility

Last week, dovish language from the Federal Reserve (Fed) fueled one of the strongest rallies in U.S. stocks this year. On November 28, the S&P 500 Index posted its biggest daily gain since March and the U.S. dollar dropped the most in two weeks...

December 7, 2018 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Market Commentary

Strong Week Ahead of Big Weekend

It was a great week for the stock market. The S&P 500 Index rallied 4.9% last week, leaving the index less than 6% from its record high, on September 20, 2018 (excluding today’s gains) [Figure 1]. Gains were driven by increasing optimism (now...

November 6, 2018 | By Boone Wealth | Filed under: Weekly Economic Commentary

Rising Wages and the U.S. Economy

U.S. wage growth has been one of the most highly scrutinized economic trends recently. Investors watch average hourly earnings and employment cost data to gauge inflationary pressures, as wages represent up to 70% of business costs, and the Federal...

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