Read through the Weekly Economic Commentary category's journal entries.

July Employment Report: Healthy Job Gains Despite Missing Expectations

The Labor Department’s July jobs report, released on Friday, August 3, confirmed that the labor market remains healthy. Nonfarm payrolls rose 157,000 in July, below consensus expectations for a 193,000 increase; however, an upward revision of 59...

Second Quarter GDP Preview

After a seasonally weak first quarter, expectations have been ramping up for the U.S. economy, which is now in the midst of its longest expansion since World War II. The first look at real gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter will be...

Global Economic Outlook Remains Strong on U.S. Growth Prospects

We believe that the global growth story will continue in 2018, with an expectation of 3.8% gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the world economy, thanks to new fiscal policies and improved business vitality. We continue to expect the U.S. economy...

U.S.-China Trade Update

Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have been building over the course of 2018. These tensions have escalated over the last month, but while risks are rising, economic disruptions have remained minimal. We continue to believe the final economic...

Capex Rising: Means, Motive, and Opportunity

Increased business capital expenditures, or “capex,” remain one of the most important pieces for improving the long-term growth trajectory of the U.S. economy. Capital expenditures help increase productivity, and improved productivity is the...

Fed Preview: Connect the Dots

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to hike rates for the second time in 2018 at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, June 13. Given that the hike is all but priced in, the hike itself would mean little to markets....